Brainstorming at Burning Man 2016

Contents for Brainstorming at Burning Man 2016

Our trip to Burning Man 2015 was so successful that we are expanding our presence for 2016 to a 30' PlayaDome and running 12 Brainsto...

Sunday, April 14, 2013

Integrating A-Ways Into Buildings


Integrating A-Ways into existing buildings will challenge innovators, with all sorts of interesting results. The real excitement, in my view, will be the impact A-Ways have on new buildings and communities, and the impetus for new cultural movements.

Small Autonomous Vehicles, such as Mini-Mobility Vehicles, can run suspended from ceilings, especially in commercial buildings that have higher ceilings (our local ice cream shop, Wilsons, has a model railroad running suspended from the ceiling). These vehicles could ride the tops of existing elevators and the bottoms of stairways – imagine a ramp a foot or so below the steps – you wouldn’t notice the loss of a foot from the ceiling … unless you are tall, as I am. J

In existing cities we may see A-Ways attached to the outsides of buildings crossing above streets. The most famous existing example may be the “skybridge” connecting the Petronas Twin Towers in Kuala Lumpur, I’ve been there, and it is an awesome sight. The skybridge is featured in one of my favorite films, Entrapment.


Skybridges have a long history, and we can anticipate more connections, as in this example from Atlanta. As A-Ways become even more useful, we will probably see connections at each floor level.
For larger Autonomous Vehicles, such as Personal Transport Vehicles, more ingenuity will be needed. In future posts I will discuss other innovative solutions, such as median strips, and elevated A-Ways.

Major innovations will be multi-purpose structures including space for other activities, such as walking, jogging, biking, and relaxing. Shops and stores will be integrated into these structures, creating whole new linear communities. When I go through Penn Station in New York city, I like to get interesting food at one of the many shops there, it’s a miniature city.



For now, let me start you thinking about what this means for new buildings and communities. A-Ways will become part of the design requirements, just like plumbing, heating, and other “utilities.”  As Autonomous Vehicles provide more functions in daily life, and I will give you lots to think about with these, A-Ways will become even more influential in building and community design.

What do you think a community would look like if we have high speed A-Ways concealed inside buildings, using Continuous Convoys and En Route Sequencing? If 5 minutes on an A-Way can take you 5 miles in a straight line, but taking a single right turn doubles the time, I predict cities may look more linear than today’s grids.  

Tuesday, April 9, 2013

Keeping Autonomous Vehicles Away from People


If we have Autonomous Vehicles navigating around people, can they keep from running into each other? The Autonomous Vehicles can be very good at avoiding people, but people can do very unpredictable things, like tripping, dropping things they are carrying, running into each other. And even if the Autonomous Vehicles aren’t going to run into you, just having them around your feet will be very unnerving, and even cause you to tip. Remember Chewy and the mouse droid in Star Wars.

We have many models for how servants avoid the people they are serving, notably Downton Abbey, with: separate doors, hallways, rooms, floors, back stairs, and my favorites, dumbwaiters (Thomas Jefferson had one of the first in Monticello).

We can follow those models by providing separate, out of the way, “Autonomous Ways”, or “A-Ways” J. In addition to keeping Autonomous Vehicles from under foot, they eliminate noise, and provide a controlled environment for the Autonomous Vehicles: no people children, animals, debris, wind, rain, and other obstructions. In coming posts I will describe many more advantages and innovative features for A-Ways and how they will affect future buildings and communities.

Monday, April 8, 2013

Autonomous Vehicles and Intersections


As we’ve seen, there is no question that Autonomous Vehicles can already navigate and keep from colliding. They can even do it in 4-Dimensions: the usual 3 in space plus Time. Let’s see what that means for our current approaches to traffic control, starting with intersections.

With cars controlled by people, crossing roads are a major source of crashes and injuries. So we have invented a whole range of control mechanisms: stop signs, traffic lights, traffic circles, clover-leafs, and jug-handles (a New Jersey oddity – I love this Wikipedia entry because the language is almost as confusing as the intersections J). These do a reasonable job of reducing crashes (euphemistically called “accidents”, but I believe that is just an attempt to hide the seriousness of this national calamity, 40,000 deaths/year and 1 million injuries; they may not be “on-purposes” but that doesn’t make them accidents, at least one person or vehicle was at fault, so I will avoid the euphemism).

However, these mechanisms also delay and annoy us, and have their own share of crashes. (Have you noticed that lately there seem to be more people running red lights, creeping ahead after stopping, and other egregious behavior?)

Anyway, if you think about what the copter swarms are doing, it’s clear that Autonomous Vehicles don’t need any such controls at intersections! They don’t even need to slow down! They can just time their crossings so they don’t run into each other. Later I’ll talk about my proposals for intersections and traffic management in more detail, but you get the basic idea.

Unless you love roller coasters and bumper cars, as I do, you may not want to be watching out the window while your Autonomous Vehicle whizzes through an intersection at 120 mph, only feet away from a vehicle crossing in front of you. But I predict very few people will be looking out the window anyway, they will be too busy reading, writing, texting, dictating, watching videos, talking, and other more physical activities.

To get from my house to the mall (hey, it’s New Jersey) I go through 3 stop signs and 8 traffic lights, one of them twice because of the jug handle. So it takes 10-15 minutes to go 5 miles, even though the speed limit on most of the distance is 50 mph. And at busy times it takes a lot longer.

And of course the speed limits are another mechanism for managing crashes. So the 25 mph, 40 mph, 45 mph, and 50 mph speed limits I encounter on that trip to the mall can be replaced with whatever the Autonomous Vehicles can safely manage in each situation.

Thus I predict that one of the big attractions for Autonomous Vehicles, and my proposed system, is how fast you get where you want to go. And also how fast you can get things delivered to you.

Sunday, April 7, 2013

Can Autonomous Vehicles Keep from Running into Each Other?


Serendipity is awesome! It always makes me believe I am on a right track. The topic for today was set 3 posts ago, and just this morning I found an item in the April 2013 Wired issue about exactly this topic! (I wrote this 2 weeks ago, but we are moving and life got a bit hectic for a while, sorry for the hiatus.) It’s a response to a reader’s question about Autonomous Vehicle safety:
  • One key point in favor of Autonomous Vehicles is that “30% of traffic fatalities involve drunk drivers, while 10% are due to drivers distracted by phones, chatter, or food.” Autonomous Vehicles won’t be drunk or “unwrap hamburgers while merging.”
To see a good description of the power of coordinated Autonomous Vehicles, watch this TED2012 talk Swarms of helicopters. To see an example of what they can do, here is an excerpt from that video play music. If you Google “copter swarm” you will see amazing examples of: Coordination, Communication, and Autonomy.

Chris Anderson, editor-in-chief of Wired Magazine, Curator of the TED Conference, and innovator in drones, predicts that these helicopter drones will solve some of the challenges I have been discussing. In the article How I Accidentally Kickstarted the Domestic Drone Boom, Chris points out that you can buy a quad-coptor on Amazon, and “For less than $30, you can buy a little circuit board that can connect it to an autopilot.”

But I don’t want those rotors anywhere near my face, and I really hate to think of 3-dimensional traffic jams, so let’s see what else we can do with these same technologies with the approach I’m describing.