My friend David and I went to Burning Man 2015 to gift our
innovations on Sustainable Transportation. The experience surpassed our
expectations: singly and in small groups, over 50 people engaged us in many
hours of intriguing discussions, centered on our banners. We came home
energized to share and extend our innovations.
Here’s a photo of our location at Burning Man, before all our neighbors moved in.
Do you believe it's possible to increase transportation
efficiency by a factor of 10? How about a factor of 100, or 1,000, or even 10,000?
How about doing this with safe, personal service?
Our goal is to achieve the efficiency of Freight Trains but
while carrying you non-stop wherever you want to go, instead of crunched in a
long line of densely packed Cargo Containers, stacked on Freight Train cars, and
restricted to traveling along steel rails.
In this post, you’ll see a brief summary of our
transportation innovations, the prodigious efficiency of Freight Trains, and the
inefficiency of automobiles.
Many of our techniques are fairly well known, separately.
However, we assemble them into a comprehensive system that achieves levels of
efficiency, personal service, and safety far beyond any other system we have
seen.
This banner summarizes our Sustainable Transportation
Innovations. In subsequent posts you’ll see these innovations in more detail.
You’ll see why we need to “put the automobile on a diet” to
achieve efficient personal service for everyone, not just car owners, and also efficient
delivery of items of all sizes, even an individual dose of medicine.
You’ll see how enclosing roadways is a key part of achieving
this efficiency: no errant human drivers, pedestrians, animals, debris, or
weather to place huge demands on each car. No large batteries: the roadway can
supply the power, as subways and electric trains do today, and further increase
the efficiency at each stage of providing power.
You’ll see how to automatically pack these individual
vehicles and loads into successively larger vehicles, sort of like Russian
Dolls, for efficient, fast, and pleasant travel over longer distances. Finally,
you’ll see techniques to make this packing dynamic and achieve even higher
levels of efficiency and speed.
Later you’ll see opportunities to get started on the path to
economically implementing the innovations: airports, senior facilities,
hospitals, shopping centers, and new communities. You’ll also see how this
level of efficiency and personal service can trigger an avalanche of
innovations to improve many aspects of society and get us out of our current
“transportation trap”.
Let’s start by seeing what is possible, and beginning to
unravel why automobiles fall so far short.
How efficient are Freight Trains? (I got started
on this train of thought, sorry, by a snippet I heard on NPR.) On a Freight Train,
one tablespoon of oil can carry a one pound load, say a tomato, or perhaps you
would prefer a bottle of wine, about 3,656
miles. That’s all the way from the field in California where it was grown
to anywhere in the US, even Maine or Florida, and then some. (CSX
public data derives this efficiency as “revenue ton miles” divided by “diesel
fuel consumed”, including both freight and switching – some people question the
claimed efficiency in this reference, but you will see in our analysis how this makes
sense, and how our innovations can achieve these levels, and even exceed them.)
How far will your SUV go on 1 tablespoon of oil? Assuming
you get 20 mpg driving around town, you could go 413 feet – that won’t even get you out of the parking lot of the
market where you bought the tomato, or the bottle of wine.
So the Freight Train is 46,797:1
times more efficient than your SUV.
Right now you’re being skeptical that this could possibly be
correct. You’re thinking hey, my Prius gets 54 mpg in the city. Ok, so you can
go 1,114 feet on that tablespoon of oil – that gets you out of the parking lot
to the stop light down the street, but still a long way from home, and the
efficiency ratio is down to only 17,332:1.
Excellent, I’ve got you thinking. J So let’s look in more detail
to see if this could possibly be even remotely true.
Suppose the Freight Train had to take you along with the
tomato. We’ll pack you in as freight, which would be really uncomfortable,
because passenger trains don’t get anything like this kind of efficiency. If
you weigh 200 pounds, the Freight Train now has to carry 201 pounds. So you
would only go 18 miles (3,656/201) – that’s not
even out of the county where the tomato was grown. We’re down to only a factor
of 233:1 better than your SUV.
Suppose the Freight Train had to take your 4,000 pound SUV
along too. You would only go 4,595 feet.
That might not even get you out of the tomato field! Now we’re down to a factor
of “only” 11:1 better than your SUV.
Now you’re thinking my Prius only weighs 3,000 pounds, and I
only weigh 100 pounds. Ok, so the Freight Train takes you, your Prius, and the
tomato 6,225 feet on that tablespoon of oil, and the efficiency ratio is down
to only 5:1.
Don’t get too hopeful about that 5:1! Even if you keep tweaking cars to reduce that ratio, remember we have the Freight Train carrying the entire weight of the car. And 5:1 includes all the overhead of the Freight Train: the weight of the engine and cars, all the switching and idling to rearrange loads, etc.
Hopefully, that Freight Train efficiency doesn’t seem so
outrageous now. We’ll get into this in more detail, but briefly, this remaining
efficiency advantage comes from things like: economy of scale, “drafting” behind other train cars, steel
wheels on steel rails, smooth flat rail bed, no potholes, and fewer stoplights.
Eliminating the overhead weight is thus one key to achieving
efficiency. That’s why we’ll look at putting your car on a diet. Then we’ll
consider the other efficiency factors between an automobile and a Freight Train
that add up to 11:1.
Our next Goal is: The
Vehicle Weighs Less Than The Load.
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